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  • Love and Hate in September

    Love and Hate in September

    September is a polarizing month – back to school and the end of summer but also the beginning of fall and pumpkin spice everything season. And honestly, this month’s newsletter articles are polarizing too. When looking at the fall housing market, experts are polarized in their predictions on market conditions. And when it comes to a financial audit, deciding what spending mistakes you’ve been making and how to make changes might be polarizing too!

    So, enjoy the articles, and here’s hoping we have more sunny days before the month races to an end.

    The Fall Forecast: Cooling Temps, Hot Market Moves

    Fall 2025’s real estate market theme is perhaps best summed up as “wait and see”. The spring market was flat. Experts have mixed reports about the national average home prices for the remainder of the year. Most (CREA, CMHC, etc.) predict a drop between 1.7-3.2%, but Royal LePage is an outlier still echoing their early year prediction of 3.5-5% price increase.

    There are some notable regional differences. In Alberta, Saskatchewan and Quebec, they could see sales at historically high levels and faster price growth. Big Ontario and BC market declines are overshadowing these numbers and lowering the national average.

    Biggest factors in the home-buying market this fall

    1. Affordability: the high cost of living – especially buying a home – is more than many new buyers can afford. The average MLS price for a home currently nearly $680,000. Homebuyers need big down payments, longer term loans, and will pay much more interest over the lifetime of the mortgage – none of which are appealing. Many are saying no thanks.
    2. US trade disputes: 49% of prospective buyers have chosen to hold off on a purchase because of impending tariffs and their ripple effects. A resolution could lead to a quick market turnaround, but there’s no way to know what’s coming.
    3. Economic cooling: unemployment, slower population growth and a mild recession are all contributing to a slower fall housing market. 
    4. Rental market: Condo completions are surging, flooding the market and finally cooling off demand. People have more rental options, with potentially lower rates, which negates the need to buy. Also of note is slower household formation, meaning fewer people are looking to move out of their parents’ homes and in with their new spouse or partner.
    5. New builds: Builders are seeing reduced demand and cutting back production accordingly. Current tariffs are increasing the material costs for new homes, another reason to delay starts. The CMHC is predicting only 226,600 home starts for 2025.

    What about rates?

    The Bank of Canada has paused interest rate drops since April, which has given potential mortgagees pause. There is still one more rate cut predicted this year which could turn the market around.

    Initially, the CMHC was estimating 5-year fixed rates between 5.3-5.7% this year, but with that now out the window and lower rates currently available, the remainder of 2025 is the ideal time to get a mortgage for anyone who doesn’t already have one or imminently needs to renew. With a potential Bank of Canada rate cut looming, variable rates are also still attractive.

    Is anyone opting to buy this fall?

    Yes! Resale homes are gaining market share, with somewhere between 464,600 and 524,600 homes expected to change hands in 2025.

    There are also two main buyer demographics:

    1. Millennials: With remote work declining, they need to buy homes closer to their jobs. Urban market resale homes will likely be their prime targets.
    2. Renewals: Those needing to renew their mortgages will consider their actual needs vs their existing home. Downsizing to save costs or upsizing to accommodate changing family needs are big factors. This is the ideal time to make a move without (mortgage) penalties.

    What does all this mean?

    We’ll all be waiting to see what happens. If you want to buy, there is more supply and the lowest rates we’ve seen in a while. If you want to sell, the resale market is your friend. Either way, I can help you work out the mortgage you’re going to need.

    Adulting 101: Back-to-School Budgeting for Real Life

    If it’s time for you to stop rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic and start a purposeful financial audit – I’ve got you. Here we’re going beyond gathering statements, categorizing expenses and hoping to reduce spending. I’m going to give you the motivation to take action by looking at the WHY, WHAT, and HOW to get you into a different mindset with better results.

    Why do a financial audit?

    Auditing your finances is all about identifying how you’re spending your hard-earned cash. An audit works because it uncovers money pits you didn’t realize you’d fallen in, and gets you thinking about your financial goals. An audit will:

    • Identify overspending patterns
    • Calculate the true cost of ownership of items like a vehicle, your home, etc.
    • Catch any fraud or transaction errors
    • Pinpoint areas of spending to limit or reduce
    • Highlight items you’re automatically paying for but not using
    • Reallocate resources to higher priority items
    • Help you meet life goals that require money (like a degree, a home or the trip of a lifetime)

    So, if that sounds good, it’s time to get started. What you need to ask yourself during an audit:

    To get your finances on track, first get to the root of your current spending. Here’s what to ask yourself:

    • What are your goals for your earnings?
    • What are your life goals?
    • How much do you *think* you spend vs how much do you *actually* spend on things like entertainment, shopping, and other non-essentials?

    Sometimes the biggest shock of a financial audit is how different your expectations are from your reality. So let’s now figure out what you should still spend money on, and what you shouldn’t. Here’s what to ask yourself:  

    • What spends bring you the most joy?
    • What items could you skip or cut back without much negative impact?
    • What spends contribute towards your life and financial goals?

    You probably can’t afford (and don’t need) everything you feel like spending money on. You’ll have to make choices. A financial audit shows your financial pitfalls and puts those spending traps into perspective against your goals.

    How to stay committed:

    You found a reason to conduct this financial audit, figured out what spending to cut back on, and now it’s time to action your findings. How? Step one is to set both short and mid term goals in specific time frames and reward yourself when you achieve them. SMART goals never looked better.

    If it works for you, find a free app to track your card taps, and set alerts so you know immediately when you’ve gone off track. If that’s not for you, here are more strategies on how to stay committed and accountable:  

    • Make a visual of your goal – print a picture, make a vision board, etc.
    • Share your goals with someone that will help keep you accountable
    • Treat it like the first year of dating – celebrate small milestones, talk about it with your friends, and ignore the sacrifices you’re making
    • Distract yourself when you’re tempted to spend – go for a walk, do a craft, get outside, make a puzzle, whatever gets you away from temptation
    • Make it a game, like a week-long no-buy or going one month without eating out. You can give it a fun name like ‘dine-in December’ or ‘the week without’
    • Make a direct correlation between the amount something costs and the number of hours you have to work to get it. If you earn $40/hour, and something costs $200, you’ll have to work for 5 extra hours to earn it. Is that worth while?

    For the times when you’re getting derailed and need some reprieve, here’s how to make that work:

    • Try to use up gift cards, store credit or points (like Optimum or Aeroplan) on the out-of-budget items
    • Need more cash? Use marketplace or Kijiji to sell things you don’t need or want

    Auditing your spending isn’t about guilt—it’s about gaining clarity. With a clear picture of where your money typically goes, and what you’d really like to use it for, you can make smarter choices and set yourself up for future financial success.

    Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper

    The Bank of Canada has maintained its target for the overnight rate at 2.75% since March 12. This was the seventh consecutive cut since mid-2024, when the Bank began lowering the rate from 5.0% in response to a potential economic slowdown caused by increased trade tensions with the United States.

    Very early in the new Trump administration, tensions emerged as the president threatened to place sizable tariffs on Canadian imports not covered by the Canada-US-Mexico free trade agreement (CUSMA). President Trump has increased tariffs on non-CUSMA-compliant goods from Canada from 25% to 35%, effective August 1.

    It is currently estimated that roughly 80% of Canadian exports are CUSMA-compliant, headed for 89% in the coming months. This has kept the lid on the overall tariff burden. In June, 77% of Mexican imports met the trade pact’s country of origin criteria, up from 42% May. Fitch rating service estimates the compliance proportion will rise to 83%.

    In addition, there is a 50% tariff for all countries’ exports of steel and aluminum into the US. There is a 10% tariff on non-CUSMA-compliant potash, oil, and gas products. And a 50% tariff on some copper products.

    Most important for Amazon shoppers, the US eliminated the de minimis treatment for low-value shipments. Goods valued at $800 or less are now

    subject to all applicable duties (effective August 29).

    Other tariffs are on the table. These include tariffs on Canadian lumber, which would be in addition to the existing 14.7% tariffs, as well as on Canadian dairy products. Semiconductors and pharmaceuticals are also under consideration for tariffs, though no details have been provided.

    Reflective of Canadian resiliency, the Canadian services sector is holding up relatively well, but the export-heavy industries such as manufacturing and transportation are bearing the brunt of the impact.

    The burning question for the Bank of Canada is how inflationary these tariffs will be. Indeed, some of the tariffs will be passed off to consumers. While theoretically tariffs lead to a one-shot uptick in prices, they don’t necessarily cause inflation—a continuous rise in the general price level.

    But, as the latest data for July suggest, while headline inflation remains muted at 1.7% year-over-year, the Bank of Canada’s favoured measures of inflation average 3.05%–too high for comfort. Unless the August CPI data show a marked slowdown in core inflation, the Bank will likely retake a pass on September 17.

    On the same date, traders are now signalling that the Federal Reserve will cut rates. I’m not so sure. The US economy is too resilient, and inflation is not close enough to 2.0% for Fed officials to muck around with easing. The widespread expectation that they will ease anyway in September is lifting stocks, and the actual event may cause a stock market melt-up.

    The Fed left policy rates unchanged on July 30 for the fifth consecutive confab over the past seven months. The statement’s economic assessment

    was slightly more downbeat, in line with the data on the ground. The risk assessment didn’t refer to uncertainty as having “diminished”, with the August 1 tariff announcements looming. And, Governors Bowman and Waller dissented in favour of a quarter-point rate cut. The vote was 9-to-2, with Governor Kugler absent and not voting. (Two days later, Kugler announced her resignation.) In the press conference, Chair Powell said: “We see our current policy stance as appropriate to guard against inflation risks. We are also attentive to risks on the employment side of our mandate.

    Another key determinant of central bank policy is the strength of economic growth, as reflected in the employment data–a far timelier indicator than the GDP data. For example, while we still haven’t seen the number for second-quarter GDP growth in Canada, we have monthly employment data through the end of July.

    This and other leading indicators, such as the stock market, suggest that the slowdown in economic activity has been more moderate than many feared. The layoffs are growing in the hardest-hit sectors—steel, aluminum, autos and parts—the jobless rate for July was steady at 6.9%.

    So, the BoC is likely to have another ‘wait and see’ meeting. But the one sector that has declined significantly in the past year is housing. This provides a golden opportunity, especially for first-time and move-up buyers.

    Home prices have fallen, and in many regions (GTA and GVA), sellers are motivated. Supply has increased sharply, and multiple-bidding situations are rare.

    All potential buyers should be out there looking for bargains because

    everything is on sale (as well as for sale). Finally, mortgage rates are low—yes, low.

    We will not see a return to two-handle mortgage rates, barring another global pandemic. And, even then, the central banks would know better than to take rates down so much, for so long.

    The July data showed an uptrend in housing activity. We are likely looking towards a relatively strong Fall marketing season.

  • Helping Family Members Buy Homes: A Living Inheritance Through Reverse Mortgage

    Helping Family Members Buy Homes: A Living Inheritance Through Reverse Mortgage

    For many families, supporting the next generation in buying real estate has become both a dream and a challenge. Housing prices keep climbing, down payments feel heavier than ever, and traditional financing doesn’t always offer the flexibility people need. This is where a little-known tool can make a big difference: using a reverse mortgage as a form of living inheritance.

    A living inheritance simply means parents or grandparents provide financial support while they are still alive, instead of waiting until an estate is transferred. For families, this approach can be life-changing. Imagine helping your child secure the down payment for a first home, or giving them the freedom to invest in a property they couldn’t otherwise reach—without needing to sell your own investments or create an unexpected tax bill.

    Here’s how it works. Many homeowners are asset-rich but cash-poor. They may not have liquid assets, or may not qualify for a traditional mortgage or a home equity line of credit (HELOC). A reverse mortgage opens another door: it allows homeowners to release equity directly from their primary residence. The funds are tax-free and, most importantly, payment-optional. That means no mandatory monthly principal and interest obligations, keeping financial stress low.

    Why does this matter? Because gifting from taxable investments often triggers capital gains tax and reduces long-term savings. By borrowing against the home, families can often lower their overall cost while still passing on meaningful support. It’s not about spending the house; it’s about using existing equity as a financial tool, so parents can help their children today while still enjoying the home they love.

    This strategy is increasingly seen as a way to balance personal retirement needs with the desire to give. Instead of selling off investments or downsizing too soon, a reverse mortgage can act as a flexible, cost-efficient cushion that aligns family goals with financial reality.

    For those curious about practical examples, the concept is explored further in Reverse mortgages: 55+? A cushion against the rising cost of living,

    When it comes to real estate decisions—whether buying, selling, or planning financing options—it helps to know all the tools available. MorningLee.ca is where knowledge and opportunity meet.

    Helping Family Members Buy Homes: A Living Inheritance Through Reverse Mortgage
  • Turning Home Equity Into Opportunity: Why More Canadians Are Exploring Reverse Mortgages

    Turning Home Equity Into Opportunity: Why More Canadians Are Exploring Reverse Mortgages

    For many homeowners, the family house is more than just a roof overhead—it is often their largest single asset. Over time, as mortgages are paid down and property values rise, the equity in a home can quietly grow into a powerful financial tool. Increasingly, Canadians are discovering ways to unlock that equity to achieve goals that once seemed out of reach: buying a vacation property, helping adult children enter the market, or strengthening retirement income.

    Reverse Mortgage Basics

    A reverse mortgage is designed specifically for homeowners aged 55 and older. Unlike a traditional mortgage, it does not require mandatory monthly principal or interest payments. Instead, repayment is deferred until the borrower sells the home, moves, or passes away. The loan amount is determined by several factors including the homeowner’s age, property value, and location. Because there are no mandatory payments, borrowers often see their Total Debt Service ratio (TDS) reduced—an important factor when lenders evaluate overall borrowing capacity.

    For those who want to dig deeper into how reverse mortgages can cushion against rising living costs, a detailed overview is available here: Reverse mortgages: 55+? A cushion against the rising cost of living.

    Applications Beyond Retirement

    Traditionally, reverse mortgages have been seen mainly as a retirement planning tool. But in today’s real estate market, some homeowners are leveraging them for broader purposes. For example, funds released from a principal residence can be used to:

    • Purchase a second home or vacation property, either outright or in combination with a traditional mortgage.
    • Invest in a rental property to generate supplemental income.
    • Support lifestyle choices such as downsizing at the right time without rushing to sell in a slower market.

    Because reverse mortgages do not impose the same monthly repayment obligations, homeowners may find themselves eligible for additional borrowing opportunities that would otherwise be out of reach.

    Balancing Investment and Risk

    Using home equity as leverage can open doors, but it comes with important considerations. Tax implications—such as capital gains on second properties or reporting rental income—need careful planning. Market risks, including price fluctuations and potential vacancies, also play a role. On the other hand, for those with a long-term horizon, real estate remains a tangible asset that can diversify overall retirement strategy.

    A Smarter Approach to Real Estate Planning

    What makes these strategies appealing is flexibility. Some homeowners choose to hold onto their existing property while purchasing a new one, postponing the sale until market conditions align with their goals. Others appreciate the low prepayment penalties available in certain reverse mortgage products, giving them freedom to adjust plans as life changes.

    Real estate decisions—whether buying, selling, or financing—are rarely one-size-fits-all. They require careful evaluation of financial position, lifestyle goals, and long-term outlook. For many Canadians, reverse mortgages have quietly become a tool worth considering in that equation.

    To explore more insights and options tailored to your situation, visit MorningLee.ca.

    Turning Home Equity Into Opportunity: Why More Canadians Are Exploring Reverse Mortgages
  • Tariff Turmoil Takes Its Toll

    Tariff Turmoil Takes Its Toll

    Tariff Turmoil Takes Its Toll

    Statistics Canada released Q2 GDP data, showing a weaker-than-expected -1.6% seasonally adjusted annual rate, in line with the Bank of Canada’s forecast, but a larger dip than the consensus forecast. The contraction primarily reflected a sharp decline in exports, down 26.8%, which reduced headline GDP growth by 8.1 percentage points. Business fixed investment was also weak, contracting 10.1%, mainly due to a 32.6% decline in business equipment spending. 

    Exports declined 7.5% in the second quarter after increasing 1.4% in the first quarter. As a consequence of United States-imposed tariffs, international exports of passenger cars and light trucks plummeted 24.7% in the second quarter. Exports of industrial machinery, equipment and parts (-18.5%) and travel services (-11.1%) also declined.

    Amid the counter-tariff response by the Canadian government to imports from the United States (which has now been rescinded), international imports declined 1.3% in the second quarter, following a 0.9% increase in the previous quarter. Lower imports of passenger vehicles (-9.2%) and travel services (-8.5%; primarily Canadians travelling abroad) were offset by higher imports of intermediate metal products (+35.8%), particularly unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals.

    Export (-3.3%) and import (-2.3%) prices fell in the second quarter, as businesses likely absorbed some of the additional costs of tariffs by lowering prices. Given the larger decline in export prices, the terms of trade—the ratio of the price of exports to the price of imports—fell 1.1%.

    But the report was not all bad news. Consumer resilience was also evident. Household consumption spending accelerated in Q2. Personal spending rose 4.5% compared to 0.5% in Q1. Government spending also notably contributed to growth. 

    An improvement in housing activity also added to economic activity. Residential investment grew at a firm rate of 6.3%, compared to a decline of 12.2% in the first quarter of the year. 

    Final domestic demand rose 3.5% annualized, reflecting resilience and perhaps Canadians’ boycott of US travel or US products. However, income growth was up just 0.7% year-over-year (at an annual rate), which pulled the savings rate down one percentage point to 5.0%, potentially hampering consumers’ ability to continue their spending.

    Inventories of finished goods and inputs to the production process increased by 26.9%, reflecting the Q1 stockpiling of goods that would be subject to future tariffs. 

    While Q2 was soft, June GDP was arguably more disappointing at -0.1% m/m, two ticks below consensus. Manufacturing was the surprise, falling 1.5%. Services were mixed, with gains in wholesale and retail offsetting some broader weakness. The July flash estimate was +0.1% (on the firmer side, given some of the soft data thus far), but the June figure makes it clear that the final print can be quite different.

    The Bank had Q2 GDP at -1.5% in their July Monetary Policy Report, so the miss was minor. And, the strength in domestic demand highlights the economy’s resilience. One negative is that Q3 is tracking softer than their +1% estimate (closer to +0.5%), but it’s still very early, and things can change materially.

    Bottom Line

    The odds are no better than even for the Bank of Canada to cut rates when they meet again on September 17. There are two key data releases before then — the August Labour Force Survey, released August 5, a week from today, and the August CPI release on September 16. We would have to see considerable weakness in both reports to trigger a Canadian rate cut next month.

    A Fed rate cut is far more likely, as telegraphed by Chair Jay Powell at the annual Jackson Hole confab. The battle between the White House and the Fed has intensified with President Trump’s firing of Governor Lisa Cook, the first Black woman on the Board and a Biden appointee. If Trump were to succeed, it would enable him to appoint a majority of the Federal Reserve Board, potentially allowing him to dictate monetary policy. 

    Trump wants significantly lower interest rates in the US, but even if he succeeds, only shorter-term rates would decline. The loss of Fed independence could lead to higher, longer-term interest rates, which could likely result in higher fixed mortgage rates in Canada. Moreover, inflation pressures could intensify, leading to continued upward pressure on bond yields and diminishing the potential appeal of floating-rate mortgage loans.

    Dr. Sherry Cooper

  • CPI Report Shows Headline Inflation Cooling, But Core Inflation Remains Troubling

    CPI Report Shows Headline Inflation Cooling, But Core Inflation Remains Troubling

    Today's CPI Report Shows Headline Inflation Cooling, But Core Inflation Remains Troubling

    Canadian consumer prices decelerated to 1.7% y/y in July, a bit better than expected and down two ticks from June’s reading. 
    Gasoline prices led the slowdown in the all-items CPI, falling 16.1% year over year in July, following a 13.4% decline in June. Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 2.5% in July, matching the increases in May and June.

    Gasoline prices fell 0.7% m/m in July. Lower crude oil prices, following the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, contributed to the decline. In addition, increased supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners (OPEC+) put downward pressure on the index.

    Moderating the deceleration in July were higher prices for groceries and a smaller year-over-year decline in natural gas prices compared with June.

    The CPI rose 0.3% month over month in July. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI was up 0.1%.

    In July, prices for shelter rose 3.0% year over year, following a 2.9% increase in June, with upward pressure mostly coming from the natural gas and rent indexes. This was the first acceleration in shelter prices since February 2024.

    Prices for natural gas fell to a lesser extent in July (-7.3%) compared with June (-14.1%). The smaller decline was mainly due to higher prices in Ontario, which increased 1.8% in July after a 14.0% decline in June.

    Rent prices rose at a faster pace year over year, up 5.1% in July following a 4.7% increase in June. Rent price growth accelerated the most in Prince Edward Island (+5.6%), Newfoundland and Labrador (+7.8%) and British Columbia (+4.8%).

    Moderating the acceleration in shelter was continued slower price growth in mortgage interest cost, which rose 4.8% year over year in July, after a 5.6% gain in June. The mortgage interest cost index has decelerated on a year-over-year basis since September 2023.

    The Bank of Canada’s two preferred core inflation measures accelerated slightly, averaging 3.05%, up from 3% in May, and above economists’ median projection. Traders see the continued strength in core inflation as indicative of relatively robust household spending. 

    There’s also another critical sign of firmer price pressures: The share of components in the consumer price index basket that are rising by 3% or more — another key metric the central bank’s policymakers are watching closely — expanded to 40%, from 39.1% in June. 

    CPI excluding taxes eased to 2.3%, while CPI excluding shelter slowed to 1.2%. CPI excluding food and energy dropped to 2.5%, and CPI excluding eight volatile components and indirect taxes fell to 2.6%.

    The breadth of inflation is also rising. The share of components with the consumer price index basket that are increasing 3% and higher — another key metric that the bank’s policymakers are following closely  — fell to 37.3%, from 39.1% in June.

    Bottom Line

    With today’s CPI painting a mixed picture, the following inflation report becomes more critical for the Governing Council. The August CPI will be released the day before the September 17 meeting of the central bank. There is also another employment report released on September 5. 

    Traders see roughly 84% odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut when they meet again on Sept 17–the same day as Canada. Currently, the odds of a rate cut by the BoC stand at 34%. Unless the August inflation report shows an improvement in core inflation, the Bank will remain on the sidelines. 

    Dr. Sherry Cooper

  • Today’s Lowest Rates Up and Down at The Same Time

    The 3-year fixed rate has hit a new low at 3.69%, but the 5-year lowest fixed rate has gone up. The upward and downward pressures are still fiercely competing.

    If you are considering a loan in the near future, you need to pay close attention to rate changes and seize the timing to lock in a contract that is favourable to you.

    If your current rate is relatively high, 5% or even over 6%, you need to carefully calculate and compare: the penalty for breaking your current contract versus the money saved by switching to a lower rate — which one is more cost-effective. An extra surprise may even make you scream!

    Even banks say no, for low income, low credit, low down pay, Morning will find a way, for you.

  • Owning $10 million in real estate but denied a loan—how to turn rejection into a powerful tool

    Owning $10 million in real estate but denied a loan—how to turn rejection into a powerful tool

    Imagine Investor A, holding seven properties with a total value $10+ million. They spot a rare opportunity: sellers urgently offloading prime real estate at below-market price. But when they approach traditional banks for a loan, they hit a wall.

    The Dilemma
    Despite looking like a financial winner, reality bites:

    • Self-employment income nearly zero due to market changes
    • Loans only $2 million, net assets $8 million
    • Primary residence worth $2.2 million, mortgage $200k
    • Rental income covers mortgage with positive cash flow, but after daily expenses and maintenance, disposable cash is limited
    • Excellent credit score and history

    Yet, major banks refused their applications. Why? Income too low, debt too high, and unable to pass standard stress tests.

    Breaking the Gridlock
    Investor A came to us, and we break it through by thinking differently. While banks focus on regular income, we realized Investor A’s wealth was “locked in walls.” Six solutions emerged by us:

    1. Reverse Mortgage (Primary Residence, Age 55+)

    • Benefits:
      • No income verification.
      • Flexible credit requirements.
      • No down payment required.
      • Access up to ~50% of your home equity.
      • Funds received as monthly payments, lump sum, or instalments.
      • Minimal fees, almost none.
      • Fast approval.
    • Drawbacks:
      • Only available for primary residences (not investment properties).
    • Maximum Cash Available: ~$1 million

    2. “Enhanced” Reverse Mortgage (Primary Residence, No Age Requirement)

    • Benefits:
      • No age requirement.
      • No income verification.
      • Flexible credit requirements.
      • No down payment required.
      • Access up to 60% of your home equity.
      • Funds received as monthly payments, lump sum, or instalments.
      • Fast approval.
      • Cancel anytime without penalty.
    • Drawbacks:
      • Only available for primary residences (not investment properties).
      • Higher fees.
    • Maximum Cash Available: ~$1.2 million

    3. First Mortgage Home Equity Line of Credit

    • Benefits:
      • Access up to 75% of home equity.
      • No income verification.
      • No age requirement.
      • Flexible credit requirements.
      • Pay interest only on amounts drawn; no payment if unused. Access funds freely and flexibly.
    • Drawbacks:
      • Higher fees.
      • Requires terminating existing first mortgage.
    • Maximum Cash Available: ~$6 million

    4. First Mortgage Home Equity Mortgage

    • Benefits:
      • Access up to 75% of home equity.
      • No income verification.
      • No age requirement.
      • Flexible credit requirements.
      • Lower fees than a First Mortgage HELOC.
    • Drawbacks:
      • Requires terminating existing first mortgage.
      • Monthly payments required.
    • Maximum Cash Available: ~$6 million

    5. Second Mortgage Home Equity Line of Credit

    • Benefits:
      • No income verification.
      • No age requirement.
      • Flexible credit requirements.
      • Access up to 75% of home equity.
      • Pay interest only on amounts drawn; no payment if unused. Access funds freely and flexibly.
      • Does not require terminating existing first mortgage.
    • Drawbacks:
      • Higher fees.
    • Maximum Cash Available: ~$6 million

    6. Second Mortgage Home Equity Loan

    • Benefits:
      • No income verification.
      • No age requirement.
      • Flexible credit requirements.
      • Access up to 75% of home equity.
      • Does not require terminating your existing first mortgage.
      • Lower fees than a Second Mortgage HELOC.
    • Drawbacks:
      • Monthly payments required.
    • Maximum Cash Available: ~$6 million

    Investor A opted for a mix of all six, leveraging each solution’s strengths while minimizing drawbacks according to the banks policies and his own situation like title, balance, interest rate, etc .

    The Result
    Investor A secured a $5 million credit line with two remarkable features:

    1. Off loaded the cash pressure— and interest applies only when money is used
    2. Ready to close good deals any time and immediate access to funds when needed – won’t miss any good opportunities to build up more wealth.

    From nearly depleted cash reserves, Investor A now had millions ready to seize undervalued properties, paying cash instantly. No income verification, no stress tests, no mandatory monthly payments—like turning their property into a giant credit card that only charges when used.

    Practical Impact
    Opportunities came faster than expected. Sellers in a slow market offered below-market prices with room to negotiate. While others waited for bank approvals, Investor A could pay in cash, creating a competitive edge. The secret wasn’t having money—it was unlocking dormant assets to capitalize on timing and market gaps.

    Key Takeaway
    Banks have rules, but asset value is undeniable. When income-based paths fail, check the “walls” you’ve built—every brick could be emergency cash or a lever to unlock opportunities. Investor A’s transformation? From chasing bank loans to letting assets speak for themselves.

    Assess your own available funds immediately: Evaluate available credit limit.

    For buyers, sellers, or anyone navigating property financing, understanding alternative funding strategies can make the difference between watching opportunities slip away or seizing them confidently.

    Explore more insights and strategic approaches at MorningLee.ca:Case Study: How Debt Restructuring Can Save You Thousands

    For a safer, smarter property purchase, conduct real estate due diligence for comprehensive property inspections and risk assessments.

    Owning $10 million in real estate but denied a loan—how to turn rejection into a powerful tool

  • Canadian Homebuyers Return in July, Posting the Fourth Consecutive Sales Gain

    Canadian Homebuyers Return in July, Posting the Fourth Consecutive Sales Gain

    Canadian Homebuyers Return in July, Posting the Fourth Consecutive Sales Gain

    Today’s release of the July housing data by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) showed good news on the housing front. Following a disappointing spring selling season, National home sales were up 3.8% in July from the month before, with Toronto seeing transactions rebound 35.5% since March. However, the total number of Toronto sales remains low by historical standards.

    On a year-over-year basis, total transactions have risen 11.2% since March. 

    There is growing confidence that the Canadian economy will resiliently weather the tariff trauma. The Canadian dollar is up, and longer-term interest rates have edged downward in the past ten days. Traders are now anticipating a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

    Tuesday’s release of the Canadian CPI will provide another data point for the Bank of Canada. Economic growth has held up, in large part because much of the pain from tariffs has been confined to industries singled out for levies, including autos, steel and aluminum.

    Shaun Cathcart, the real estate board’s senior economist, said, “With sales posting a fourth consecutive increase in July, and almost 4% at that, the long-anticipated post-inflation crisis pickup in housing seems to have finally arrived. The shock and maybe the dread that we felt back in February, March and April seem to have faded,” as people become less concerned about their future employment.

    New Listings

    New supply was little changed (+0.1%) month-over-month in July. Combined with the notable increase in sales, the national sales-to-new listings ratio rose to 52%, up from 50.1% in June and 47.4% in May. The long-term average for the national sales-to-new listings ratio is 54.9%, with readings roughly between 45% and 65% generally consistent with balanced housing market conditions.

    There were 202,500 properties listed for sale on all Canadian MLS® Systems at the end of July 2025, up 10.1% from a year earlier and in line with the long-term average for that time of the year.

    “Activity continues to pick up through the transition from the spring to the summer market, which is the opposite of a normal year, but this has not been a normal year,” said Valérie Paquin, CREA Chair. “Typically, we see a burst of new listings right at the beginning of September to kick off the fall market, but it seems like buyers are increasingly returning to the market.

    There were 4.4 months of inventory on a national basis at the end of July 2025, dropping further below the long-term average of five months of inventory as sales continue to pick up. Based on one standard deviation above and below that long-term average, a seller’s market would be below 3.6 months, and a buyer’s market would be above 6.4 months.

    Home Prices

    The National Composite MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) was unchanged between June and July 2025. Following declines in the first quarter of the year, the national benchmark price has remained mostly stable since May.

    The non-seasonally adjusted National Composite MLS® HPI was down 3.4% compared to July 2024. This was a smaller decrease than the one recorded in June.

    Based on the extent to which prices fell off in the second half of 2024, look for year-over-year declines to continue to shrink in the months ahead.

    Bottom Line

    Homebuyers are responding to improving fundamentals in the Canadian housing market. Supply has risen as new listings surged until May of this year. Additionally, the benchmark price was $688,700, 3.4% lower than a year earlier. That decrease was smaller than in June, and the board expects year-over-year declines to continue shrinking, it said in a statement.

    While many expect the Fed to ease in September, I’m not sure it will happen. The producer price index came in hotter than expected this week. Fed action will depend mainly on the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), the Fed’s favourite measure of inflation, which will be out on August 29. 

    US stagflation worries have emerged with the release of the July employment report, which showed considerable weakness, enough to get the head of the Bureau of Labour Statistics fired. The likelihood of a BoC cut will increase if the Fed begins a series of easing moves as the administration is demanding.

    Dr. Sherry Cooper

  • Canada’s July Labour Force Survey Was the Weakest Since 2022

    Canada’s July Labour Force Survey Was the Weakest Since 2022

    Canada’s July Labour Force Survey Was the Weakest Since 2022
    Employment fell by 40,800 jobs in July, a weak start to the third quarter, driven by decreases in full-time work, with most of the decline in the private sector. The jobless rate held steady at 6.9%, even though the number of unemployed people fell. The monthly decline was the largest since January 2022, and excluding the pandemic, it’s the most significant drop in seven years. 

    The job loss was concentrated among youth ages 15 to 24 who have had a terrible time finding summer jobs this year. The unemployment rate for that group is a whopping 14.6%, the highest since September 2010 outside of the pandemic. The youth employment rate fell 0.7 percentage points to 53.6% in July—the lowest rate since November 1998, excluding the pandemic. 

    Trump’s tariff turmoil has halted so many crucial financial decisions. Potential homebuyers are deer-in-the-headlights despite the relatively low mortgage rates, strong supply of unsold homes, and lower prices. Potential move-up buyers similarly don’t take action despite the relatively strong bargaining power of buyers. 
    The employment rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 years and older who are employed—fell by 0.2 percentage points to 60.7% in July and was down 0.4 percentage points from the beginning of the year (61.1% in both January and February).

    The number of employees in the private sector fell by 39,000 (-0.3%) in July, partly offsetting a cumulative gain of 107,000 (+0.8%) in May and June. There was little change in the number of public sector employees and in the number of self-employed workers in July.
    The unemployment rate held steady at 6.9% in July, as the number of people searching for work or on temporary layoff varied little from the previous month. The unemployment rate had trended up earlier in 2025, rising from 6.6% in February to a recent high of 7.0% in May, before declining 0.1 percentage points in June.

    Unemployed people continued to face difficulties finding work in July. Of the 1.6 million people who were unemployed in July, 23.8% were in long-term unemployment, meaning they had been continuously searching for work for 27 weeks or more. This was the highest share of long-term unemployment since February 1998 (excluding 2020 and 2021).

    Compared with a year earlier, unemployed job seekers were more likely to remain unemployed from one month to the next. Nearly two-thirds (64.2%) of those who were unemployed in June remained unemployed in July, higher than the corresponding proportion for the same months in 2024 (56.8%, not seasonally adjusted).

    Despite continued uncertainty related to tariffs and trade, the layoff rate was virtually unchanged at 1.1% in June compared with a year ago (1.2%). This measures the proportion of people who were employed in June but were laid off in July. In comparison, the layoff rate for the corresponding months from 2017-19, before the pandemic, averaged 1.2%.

    There were fewer people in the labour force in July as many discouraged workers dropped out, and the participation rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 and older who were employed or looking for work—fell by 0.2 percentage points to 65.2%. Despite the decrease in the month, the participation rate was little changed on a year-over-year basis.

    Despite continued uncertainty related to tariffs and trade, the layoff rate was virtually unchanged at 1.1% in July compared with 12 months earlier (1.2%). This represents the proportion of people who were employed in June but had become unemployed in July as a result of a layoff. In comparison, the layoff rate for the corresponding months from 2017 to 2019, before the pandemic, averaged 1.2% (not seasonally adjusted).

    There were fewer people in the labour force in July, and the participation rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 and older who were employed or looking for work—fell by 0.2 percentage points to 65.2%. Despite the decrease in the month, the participation rate was stable on a year-over-year basis.

    Employment declined in information, culture and recreation by 29,000 (-3.3%). In construction, employment decreased by 22,000 (-1.3%) in July, following five consecutive months of little change. The number of people working in construction in July was about the same as it was 12 months earlier.

    Employment fell in business, building and other support services (-19,000; -2.8%), marking the third decline in the past four months for the industry. Employment also fell in health care and social assistance (-17,000; -0.6%), offsetting a similar-sized increase in June. Compared with 12 months earlier, employment in health care and social assistance was up by 54,000 (+1.9%) in July.

    Employment rose in transportation and warehousing (+26,000; +2.4%) in July, the first increase since January. On a year-over-year basis, employment in this industry was little changed in July.

    The number of jobs declined in Alberta (-17,000; -0.6%) and British Columbia (-16,000; -0.5%), while it increased in Saskatchewan (+3,500; +0.6%). There was little change in the other provinces.
    Total hours worked in July were little changed both in the month (-0.2%) and compared with 12 months earlier (+0.3%).

    Average hourly wages among employees increased 3.3% (+$1.17 to $36.16) on a year-over-year basis in July, following growth of 3.2% in June (not seasonally adjusted).
    Employment also declined in May in transportation and warehousing (-16,000; -1.4%); accommodation and food services (-16,000; -1.4%), and business, building and other support services (-15,000; -2.1%).
     
    Bottom Line

    The two-year government of Canada bond yield fell about four bps on the news, while the loonie weakened. Traders in overnight swaps fully priced in a quarter-point rate cut by the Bank of Canada by year-end, and boosted the odds of a September cut to about 40%, from 30% previously. 

    Oddly enough, manufacturing payrolls rose in July despite the tariffs. This was the second consecutive monthly gain for a sector that one would expect to be most affected by the trade war. Manufacturing employment has fallen year-over-year.

    This was an unambiguously weak report, but it comes hard on the heels of a robust report. Averaging the two months of data suggests there is an excess supply in the economy. But we will need to see a decline in core inflation for the Bank of Canada to resume cutting interest rates. 

    Traders are now expecting the US central bank to cut interest rates when it meets again in September. With any luck at all, this will pressure the Bank to cut rates as well, but only if the interim two inflation reports show an improvement, and the labour market remains weak. The next jobs report is on September 5, and the Bank of Canada meets again on September 17. 
    Dr. Sherry Cooper
  • Case Study: How Debt Restructuring Can Save You Thousands

    Case Study: How Debt Restructuring Can Save You Thousands

    When you’re juggling multiple loans and high-interest debts, Debt Restructuring can be the financial strategy that brings relief—and significant savings. For many homeowners and buyers in the Vancouver real estate market, understanding how to restructure debt is not just about reducing monthly payments; it’s about creating long-term financial stability.


    Debt Restructuring Explained

    Debt Restructuring is the process of consolidating or reorganizing your existing debts—such as a first mortgage, second mortgage, or credit card balances—into a single, more manageable loan. This often means replacing high-interest debts with one loan at a lower rate, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time.

    For example, instead of paying off several loans at different rates and due dates, you merge them into one loan with a fixed repayment plan. This simplifies budgeting, reduces stress, and helps avoid missed payments.


    Case Study 1: First and Second Mortgage Consolidation

    Imagine you have a first mortgage at 4.9% and a second mortgage at 9.5%. Paying these separately may feel manageable month-to-month, but over the long term, the extra interest on the second mortgage adds up quickly.

    Through Debt Restructuring, you could merge both mortgages into a single loan at, say, 5.5%. While the new rate may be slightly higher than your first mortgage’s rate, it’s much lower than the second mortgage’s rate. The result: you pay less interest overall and simplify your repayment schedule.


    Case Study 2: Adding Credit Card Debt to the Mix

    Now let’s take it a step further. Suppose you have the same first and second mortgages, plus credit card debt at 19.9% interest. By consolidating all three into one restructured mortgage, you replace high-interest revolving debt with a lower fixed rate. This not only reduces your monthly payment but also helps you pay down your debt faster since more of your payment goes toward the principal rather than interest.


    Why Debt Restructuring Matters for Real Estate Buyers and Sellers

    If you’re a home buyer, debt restructuring can improve your credit profile, making it easier to qualify for better mortgage terms. For home sellers, clearing high-interest debt before listing your property may improve your financial flexibility, allowing you to handle closing costs or invest in home staging.

    In a high-cost housing market like Vancouver, these savings can make the difference between feeling financially stretched and maintaining stability. For insights on broader market trends that affect borrowing costs, check out this recent report:
    Today’s Report Shows Inflation Remains a Concern, Forestalling BoC Action.


    A Smart Move: Pair Debt Restructuring with Property Risk Checks

    When you’re making big real estate decisions, understanding your financial position is only half the equation. It’s also important to understand the property you’re buying. Services like EstateDetect.com specialize in investigating potential risks and uncovering opportunities before you commit to a purchase, giving you peace of mind.


    Final Thought:
    Debt Restructuring isn’t just a way to lower payments—it’s a long-term strategy for financial health. By learning how to consolidate loans effectively, you can save thousands in interest and simplify your path toward debt freedom. For more real estate and finance insights, visit MorningLee.ca.

    Case Study: How Debt Restructuring Can Save You Thousands

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